Livestock Spread: Trade Signal Triggered

Feeders/Live Cattle Spread

Welcome to the rodeo! On August 21st, just a day after our very first post, the Nov-Dec feeder/live cattle spread closed below the rising 50-day Moving Average for the first time in over four months. This triggered a hypothetical trade for the blog to sell one 50,000 lb. November feeder cattle contract at 207.35 and buy one 40,000 lb. December live cattle contract at 148.60 for a spread of 58.75 (premium feeders).

Nov-Dec Feeder/Live Cattle Spread Daily

Nov-Dec Feeder/Live Cattle Spread Daily

The contract high for the spread was made on August 12th at 64.30. Therefore, our initial hypothetical position exit signal will be a two-consecutive day close above 64.80 (or .50 points above the contract high).

Note that the tick value of $5 on the feeder cattle contract is slightly higher than the tick value of $4 on the live cattle contract. To normalize the tick size, a trader should have four feeder contracts for every five live cattle contracts.

Once a downtrend is firmly established in the Nov-Dec feeder/live cattle spread, we may discuss potential ideas for measuring volatility to determine intervals for adding to a spread position. Stay tuned!

 

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